Polymarket Trader

fede7893

0x2a6447568db3c5e625850047ada3cef19d0b51d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.4K
Realized PnL: $4.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $6.93
User PnL: $58.21

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $608.74
Potential payout: $756.2
Potential profit: $147.46
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $8.74

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $613.58
Potential payout: $677.99
Potential profit: $64.41
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $13.58

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$404.99

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $293.48
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $141.3
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$6.52

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $256.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $43.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $295.2
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $266.4
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $33.6
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$18.6

Yes position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $238.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $61.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $10.5

Under position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.92
Potential profit: $299.92
User PnL: -$15.9

No position

Will Uruguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $257.93
Potential payout: $299.92
Potential profit: $41.99
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Under position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $30.63
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $94.38
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.5

Under position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $71
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0

Under position

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$3

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $776.93

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.47

Yes position

Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.66

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.5

Yes position

Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.06

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.21

No position

Trump blowout victory?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.48

Yes position

Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.46

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.55

Yes position

Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.68

Yes position

Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.24

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.86

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.49

Yes position

Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.52

Yes position

Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.14

Yes position

Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.47

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Yes position

Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.61

Yes position

Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.16

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.11

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

Jones position

Jones vs. Miocic

Ends Nov 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 3,507.59 shares
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 57% 3,507.59 shares
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 70% 142.86 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 61% 819.67 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 79.3% 756.2 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 24% 125 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?

Yes 12% 166.67 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?

Yes 7% 285.71 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 75% 266.67 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 95% 21.05 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 95% 10.53 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 68% 294.12 shares