Polymarket Trader

0x2A68C91559FC4ec94c6B2EA09880578Af4dDa4c8-1771510573328

0x2a68c91559fc4ec94c6b2ea09880578af4dda4c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.73K
Realized PnL: $5.28K
Win rate: 61.9%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $531.34
Potential payout: $9.08K
Potential profit: $8.55K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$468.66

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.04K
Potential payout: $7.04K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.04K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.91K
Potential profit: $5.91K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.88K
User PnL: -$999.99

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $117.57
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$16.44

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $121.88
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$997.22

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $829.64
Potential profit: $829.64
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $53.85
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $715.38
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$46.15

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740.74
Potential profit: $740.74
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $521.28
Potential profit: $521.28
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.24
Potential profit: $207.24
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $696.55

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.54

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.86

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.14

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $174.24

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.6

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.01

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Calgary Wranglers position

AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Calgary Wranglers

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$999.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96.9% 3,221.13 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 71% 7,042.25 shares
Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 94.4% 2,119.73 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 16.9% 5,914.26 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 17% 2,777.77 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 18% 2,777.78 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 17% 2,500 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 27% 740.74 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 20% 2,500 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 58.9% 1,696.55 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 17% 5,882.35 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 11% 9,082.71 shares