No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $161.81
- Potential payout
- $239.72
- Potential profit
- $77.91
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Polymarket Trader
0x2a6e...e8ad
0x2a6ef31213f650a5fd16b36b7900ff092287e8ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $186.69
- Realized PnL
- $219.48
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $24.88
- Potential payout
- $216.39
- Potential profit
- $191.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$100.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.02
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $65.27
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.63
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.36
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
N
No position
Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Nikola Bartunkova position
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkova
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will Trump say "Table" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.76
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No 75.3% 239.72 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 57.2% 81.68 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 294.11 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 59.7% 181.42 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.5% 299.4 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?No 57.8% 216.39 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74.8% 125.52 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 52.2% 181.78 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 70.9% 181.78 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 77% 129.42 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.7% 299.4 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 294.12 shares