Yes position
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Polymarket Trader
0x2a8537Fed0E0ad24869ecd1A11f20Cb96eBA54c1-1776677063080
0x2a8537fed0e0ad24869ecd1a11f20cb96eba54c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $125.83
- Realized PnL
- $146.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $17.31
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $12.58
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$4.54
No position
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.94
- Potential profit
- $15.94
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$5.06
No position
Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $10.99
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Trump on $250 bill this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $10.98
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
No position
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $10.02
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $9.61
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $8.81
- Potential payout
- $9.03
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $8.68
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.19
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.01
- Potential profit
- $8.01
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.35
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
No position
Will Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
Yes position
Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dog" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Cat" during healthcare event?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
BIG position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Trump say "Hot" or "Hottest" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No 99.1% 7 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026?No 99% 9.03 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 11 shares
- Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No 96.1% 12.01 shares
- Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No 96.4% 18.01 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 24% 4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 23% 5 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 51% 9 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 50% 4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 21% 19 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 75% 5 shares