Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.33K
- Potential profit
- $9.33K
- User PnL
- -$10.99
Polymarket Trader
iosuromero
0x2a8b77177c1bd8a26e00d98d1fb6bb35a2ab4484
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.24
- Realized PnL
- $194.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33K
- Potential profit
- $8.33K
- User PnL
- -$8.99
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $928.22
- Potential profit
- $928.22
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $857.14
- Potential profit
- $857.14
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $544.12
- Potential profit
- $540.04
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.67
- Potential profit
- $540.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.08
- Potential profit
- $433.08
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $403.24
- Potential profit
- $397.79
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.85
- Potential profit
- $316.85
- User PnL
- -$3.17
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $289.65
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.39
- Potential profit
- $272.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $249.78
- Potential profit
- $239.16
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $5.62
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.31
- Potential profit
- $216.31
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
No position
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Will Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "North Korea" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will "President" be said at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "OpenAI" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 70.8 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 12% 24.92 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?Yes 13% 23.08 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 4.8% 166.67 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes 20% 15 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes 8% 37.5 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 56% 8.93 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes 10% 30 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 30% 6.67 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes 26% 7.69 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Yes 7% 28.57 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 27% 7.41 shares