Polymarket Trader

0x2a8e...6b72

0x2a8e9a9a53886c8efb411925f84832ee61636b72

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $23.06
Realized PnL: $54.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $19.55
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $17.7
Potential profit: $15.62
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $8.29
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.31
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $4.26
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Scotland be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

New York Yankees position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Under position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

Under position

Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Powell say "Governor" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

Cincinnati Reds 4% 40 shares
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

Cincinnati Reds 5% 40 shares
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81% 3.7 shares
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 47% 4.26 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 64% 3.13 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 3.08 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 40% 5 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 85% 2.35 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 17.7 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 5.98 shares