No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $364.91K
- Potential profit
- $364.91K
- User PnL
- -$13.22K
Polymarket Trader
s0meone
0x2a9958838ef86cb22550eb35f5ef0e290da0a499
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.1K
- Realized PnL
- $37.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.17K
- Potential profit
- $303.17K
- User PnL
- -$8.05K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.79K
- Potential profit
- $16.79K
- User PnL
- -$8.13K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.58K
- Potential profit
- $11.58K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.16K
- Potential profit
- $10.16K
- User PnL
- -$77.97
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.96K
- Potential profit
- $9.96K
- User PnL
- -$909.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- User PnL
- -$4.6K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.32K
- Potential profit
- $5.32K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
No position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $865.88
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$105.73
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $110 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$903.6
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $100 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $970.87
- Potential profit
- $970.87
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $952.38
- Potential profit
- $952.38
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $923.08
- Potential profit
- $923.08
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $886.45
- Potential profit
- $886.45
- User PnL
- -$383.41
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $795.59
- Potential profit
- $795.59
- User PnL
- -$69.04
No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $437.51
- Potential payout
- $781.26
- Potential profit
- $343.75
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$62.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $606.88
- Potential profit
- $606.88
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $488.51
- Potential payout
- $574.71
- Potential profit
- $86.21
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$11.49
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $508.01
- Potential profit
- $508.01
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $54.48
- Potential payout
- $311.29
- Potential profit
- $256.81
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$25.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.6
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.38
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $706.79
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.91
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.19
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.87
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.87
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.55
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.46
No position
Will Solana reach $190 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.77
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $189.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 73% 684.93 shares
- Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 150 shares
- Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 87% 574.71 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 75% 59.16 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 64% 781.25 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 75% 1,066.67 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 87% 6.9 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 58.3% 1,502.5 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 73% 1,223.02 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 92% 1,174.9 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 1,079.38 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 98.3% 319.14 shares