Polymarket Trader

peng47bsc1

@PK477777

0x2aa01c7686ce5c5086115d0acf56fa7fbbf9e82f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.06K
Realized PnL: $2.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $66.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$583.75

No position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 12 be between 80 and 85?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $698.35
Potential payout: $716.25
Potential profit: $17.91
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $32.35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $551.95
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $3.05
User PnL: $102.4

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $178.96
Potential payout: $542.31
Potential profit: $363.35
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$21.04

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $111.89
Potential payout: $540.54
Potential profit: $428.65
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$88.11

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Stripe IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $28.4
Potential payout: $436.93
Potential profit: $408.53
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$171.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.78
Potential profit: $420.78
User PnL: -$399.12

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.72
Potential profit: $409.72
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $301.24
Potential payout: $391.22
Potential profit: $89.98
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $101.24

Yes position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.66
Potential profit: $316.66
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $15.38
Potential payout: $307.57
Potential profit: $292.19
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$224.53

Yes position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $171.6
Potential payout: $279.02
Potential profit: $107.42
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $261.52
Potential payout: $261.65
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $39.52

Yes position

Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $256.87
Potential payout: $257
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $25.67

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $149.67
Potential payout: $230.26
Potential profit: $80.59
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $109.53
Potential payout: $212.67
Potential profit: $103.14
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$39.34

Yes position

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $159
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $41
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $158.73
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.4
Potential profit: $141.4
User PnL: -$43.84

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.8
Potential profit: $133.8
User PnL: -$128.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.92

Yes position

Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.69

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $142.28

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.61

No position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.86

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.37

Yes position

Will AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.88

Yes position

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.03

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.19

FC Bayern München position

Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Arsenal FC position

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.22

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.11

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.22

No position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.42

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.3

FC Porto position

Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.44

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.12

Yes position

AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.27

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 279.02 shares
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 88% 200 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 65% 210.26 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 31.6% 316.66 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5

Over 61% 163.93 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 97.2% 557.84 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 78% 307.57 shares
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 94% 333 shares
Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Spain 34% 73.51 shares
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 90% 257 shares
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 70% 212.67 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

No 95.4% 34.78 shares