Polymarket Trader

asdf6789

0x2aaca6dcf0797a39821994cc528bfdd4eebfa718

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $312.3
Realized PnL: $86.62K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $555
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$365

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $122
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $278
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $159
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $104.3
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $35.7
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$21.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.69K

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $246.4

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $165.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.19

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.91

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.59

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.07

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.02

Yes position

Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.27

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$91.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 40% 200 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Yes 89.7% 140 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 499.99 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 48% 147 shares
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Yes 75% 1.33 shares
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Yes 72% 45.83 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 20 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 1.4% 22.88 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 1.5% 200 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 1.8% 851.59 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 2.2% 1,971.96 shares
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Yes 8.2% 729.87 shares