No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.8%
- Current value
- $254.38
- Potential payout
- $370
- Potential profit
- $115.63
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Polymarket Trader
tiredShip
0x2aae07fd1388d00b5a4d425fdfc6ea13e9a5a80c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $419.41
- Realized PnL
- $5.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Under position
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178
- Potential profit
- $178
- User PnL
- -$5.34
N
No position
Brazil vs. Haiti: Second half draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.74
- Potential profit
- $149.74
- User PnL
- -$121.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.9%
- Current value
- $40.73
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$21.49
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.1%
- Current value
- $18.77
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$7.88
No position
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $17.47
- Potential payout
- $17.98
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.4%
- Current value
- $9.65
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$4.74
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $12.68
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $12.3
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$7.93
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $8.11
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$7.47
No position
Will FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.7
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $9.66
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.92
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.22
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.47
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $6.91
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $5.62
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $6.12
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
US bank failure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Yes position
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-02?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $191.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.38
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 10PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.16
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Sweden?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Paraguay leading at halftime?Yes 98% 300 shares
- Paraguay leading at halftime?Yes 93% 500 shares
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?No 86% 0.27 shares
- Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 Paraguay?No 94.6% 10 shares
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?No 76% 225 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder 99.7% 5 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 99.9% 200 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?No 99.9% 494 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5Over 86% 200 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over 99.9% 10 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under 99.9% 4.99 shares