Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $136.96
- Potential profit
- $136.28
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.31
Polymarket Trader
romanew-3-15
0x2ab3e572c80cb5936a9e39fc96e27463152107bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.9
- Realized PnL
- $406.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.24
- Potential profit
- $102.24
- User PnL
- -$8.11
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $101.99
- Potential profit
- $98.72
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $94.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $93.82
- Potential profit
- $93.12
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.27
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.26
- Potential profit
- $88.26
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $82.76
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.01
No position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.98
- Potential profit
- $81.98
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $79.92
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$4.27
Yes position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $80.65
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $80.65
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $79.36
- Potential profit
- $79.17
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $73.54
- Potential profit
- $73.39
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.11
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $71
- User PnL
- -$4.97
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$3.57
No position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $68.48
- Potential profit
- $66.8
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.32
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $62.51
- Potential profit
- $62.48
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $55.83
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.22
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.32
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.98
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.21
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.34
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.71
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.48
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.21
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.96
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.74
No position
Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.26
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.22
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.03
Spizzirri position
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.60 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.28
Yes position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $13.21
No position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.82
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.71
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.19
No position
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes 4.1% 15 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?No 34% 16.13 shares
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?Yes 0.1% 29.22 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?Yes 0.6% 17.72 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.1% 35.4 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 1.4% 80.65 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 14% 31.25 shares
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 6.4% 86.2 shares
- Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No 6.2% 21.64 shares
- Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes 2.3% 38.42 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Brex IPO before 2027?Yes 7% 5 shares