0x2acf345851Bd6DbcEE9c07d157f58386a4fDf9BB-1769529267515

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$9.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $976.46
Potential profit: $976.46
User PnL: -$10.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $619.27
Potential profit: $619.27
User PnL: -$110.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $582
Potential profit: $582
User PnL: -$26.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.19
Potential profit: $416.19
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412
Potential profit: $412
User PnL: -$14.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.41
Potential profit: $405.41
User PnL: -$128.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.64
Potential profit: $400.64
User PnL: -$48.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $73.78
Potential payout: $378.35
Potential profit: $304.57
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $54.8
Potential payout: $377.95
Potential profit: $323.15
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.94
Potential profit: $369.94
User PnL: -$51.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $368.85
Potential profit: $368.85
User PnL: -$70.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $27.49
Potential payout: $366.5
Potential profit: $339.01
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$22.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $363.74
Potential payout: $365.75
Potential profit: $2.01
User PnL: $292.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.38
Potential profit: $361.38
User PnL: -$47.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $355.7
Potential profit: $355.7
User PnL: -$60.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $100.58
Potential payout: $353.05
Potential profit: $252.47
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $32.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.03
Potential profit: $351.03
User PnL: -$59.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $8.24
Potential payout: $343.36
Potential profit: $335.12
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$15.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.28
Potential profit: $338.28
User PnL: -$52.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.54
Potential profit: $336.54
User PnL: -$56.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $69.44
Potential payout: $330.66
Potential profit: $261.22
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $104.48
Potential payout: $326.52
Potential profit: $222.03
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $33.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $63.44
Potential payout: $325.34
Potential profit: $261.9
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $323.22
Potential profit: $323.22
User PnL: -$51.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.02
Potential profit: $312.02
User PnL: -$69.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.58
Potential profit: $310.58
User PnL: -$60.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $309.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$69.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.02
Potential profit: $304.02
User PnL: -$26.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.35
Potential profit: $301.35
User PnL: -$52.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.95
Potential profit: $299.95
User PnL: -$39.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.26
Potential profit: $299.26
User PnL: -$66.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.75
Potential profit: $293.75
User PnL: -$15.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.92
Potential profit: $286.92
User PnL: -$51.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.89
Potential profit: $280.89
User PnL: -$70.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.03
Potential profit: $280.03
User PnL: -$55.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.62
Potential profit: $279.62
User PnL: -$70.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $107.42
Potential payout: $279
Potential profit: $171.58
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $29.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.85
Potential profit: $278.85
User PnL: -$66.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $122.54
Potential payout: $269.32
Potential profit: $146.78
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $45.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $267.3
Potential profit: $267.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$70.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.44
Potential profit: $264.44
User PnL: -$71.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $160.44
Potential payout: $260.87
Potential profit: $100.44
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $85.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $37.75
Potential payout: $260.32
Potential profit: $222.57
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$37.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.86
Potential profit: $255.86
User PnL: -$66.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.39
Potential profit: $255.39
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.13
Potential profit: $255.13
User PnL: -$66.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.89
Potential profit: $253.89
User PnL: -$64.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $71.01
Potential payout: $253.59
Potential profit: $182.58
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $87.28
Potential payout: $253.07
Potential profit: $165.79
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $12.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?