Polymarket Trader

0x2Ad049C87AB0207d7a4432684eBc08cFe1FA9187-1772906252782

0x2ad049c87ab0207d7a4432684ebc08cfe1fa9187

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.38
Realized PnL: $94.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.02
Potential profit: $39.02
User PnL: -$9.94

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.1%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $26.37
Potential profit: $16.6
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $14.43
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $8.3
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.41
Potential profit: $15.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.59
Potential profit: $13.59
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.56
Potential profit: $13.56
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $4.44
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.6
Potential profit: $7.6
User PnL: -$4.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $6.85
User PnL: -$4.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 66% 22.73 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 37.9% 26.37 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 95% 20.84 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 94% 17.54 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 58% 8.62 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 65% 10.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 48% 21.95 shares