Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $340
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $60
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $17.68
Polymarket Trader
0x9ba93c5F49b17B1661B34D56464dD46722934612-1773153653321
0x2ad08998ed0f747d32df97ec14de0310eca7c718
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $624.5
- Realized PnL
- $45
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Brazil position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$207
No position
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $247.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.1
- Potential profit
- $133.1
- User PnL
- -$24.43
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $49.66
- Potential profit
- $12.66
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No 72% 49.66 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil 69% 300 shares
- Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?No 80% 7.5 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes 80.6% 400 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 88% 860 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 88% 860 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30?Yes 19.8% 50 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 80% 200 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 95% 9 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30?Yes 13.7% 33.1 shares