Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $537.7
- Potential payout
- $643.95
- Potential profit
- $106.25
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.19
Polymarket Trader
OptimusRex
0x2ad51e85859ce37f71fc4c6a64a57d8e22344758
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $681.4
- Realized PnL
- $754.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Current value
- $75.69
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $111.81
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $38.67
- Potential profit
- $38.65
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.73
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $12.83
- Potential payout
- $32.08
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$11.92
No position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $30.14
- Potential payout
- $30.18
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.78
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
N
No position
Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1 - 3 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $24.8
- Potential payout
- $25.23
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.01
Blake Ellis position
Cary: Blake Ellis vs Philip Sekulic
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.09
Detroit Tigers position
Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.4
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.42
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.34
DR Congo position
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.24
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.48
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.44
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Under position
Nuggets vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.51
Under position
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.02
Minnesota Twins position
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.86
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.53
No position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.06
Under position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1 - 3 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC?No 99.1% 25.23 shares
- Athletics vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers 59.8% 41.78 shares
- Athletics vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers 58% 3.27 shares
- Athletics vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers 58.8% 42.55 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?No 40% 62.5 shares
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins 57% 43.86 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?No 40% 62.5 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?No 40% 62.5 shares
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksIndiana Fever 70.4% 35.51 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?No 58% 43.1 shares
- France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?No 58% 43.1 shares
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksIndiana Fever 70% 29.77 shares