Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $97.56
- Potential profit
- $93.66
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
0x2Ada4a73f67e9F24a9FD57B8f856e8707c79A0b0-1783021992206
0x2ada4a73f67e9f24a9fd57b8f856e8707c79a0b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.89
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $14.06
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $11.31
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4.1% 97.56 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?Yes 8.8% 11.31 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 44% 2.27 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 12.3% 8.13 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes 7.1% 14.06 shares