0x2aE5cDF2F2d5d2B2a15a1ac0845b36E71492a2A0-1771225293277

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $969.99
Potential profit: $959.81
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $741.63
Potential profit: $741.63
User PnL: -$455.83

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $218.6
Potential payout: $570
Potential profit: $351.41
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $120.99
Potential payout: $439.98
Potential profit: $318.99
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $430
Potential profit: $424.63
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $199.13
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $95.88
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $54.53

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $47.95
Potential payout: $229.99
Potential profit: $182.03
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$60.88

Yes position

Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$13.8

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $77.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $72.75
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $124.5
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$36.9

No position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $104.55
Potential payout: $118.13
Potential profit: $13.59
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $40.15
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $69.85
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will 3+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will James Magnussen win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$26.1

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $67.21
Potential payout: $77.25
Potential profit: $10.04
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $37.64

Yes position

Will Ben Proud win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$21.3

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.98
Potential profit: $59.98
User PnL: -$8.93

Yes position

Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kristian Gkolomeev win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.44

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.44

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.12

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.37

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.63

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.46

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.67

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.79

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.4

Yes position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.95

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.72

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.79

No position

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.03

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.74

Yes position

Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.51

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?