Polymarket Trader

borobog

0x2aea66659fdc13509fde33a722733e3e5b8c6ee3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.88
Realized PnL: $351.38
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $82.88
Potential payout: $385.48
Potential profit: $302.6
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$87.12

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.01
Potential profit: $90.01
User PnL: -$50.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.38
Potential profit: $77.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.76
Potential profit: $18.76
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.92

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Yes position

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.85

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.15

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.35

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.17

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 53.6% 89.99 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Yes 27% 185.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Up 44% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Down 12% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Down 14% 35.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Down 44% 11.36 shares
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

No 65.5% 15.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Down 38% 13.16 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 53.5% 18.69 shares
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 53.3% 18.76 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9.5% 403.22 shares