Polymarket Trader

kevinsdad1

0x2aebd958fed5aff24d3b63fddc0a4696ed8a357e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $181.34
Realized PnL: $14.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100.76
Potential profit: $100.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $93.36
Potential profit: $93.31
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $79.84
Potential profit: $75.57
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $55.22
Potential profit: $55.14
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the San Francisco 49ers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.49
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Carolina Panthers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $13.26
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $40.31
Multiplier: 4.04x
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $49.02
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $44.57
Multiplier: 5.95x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $12.64
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $40.93
Multiplier: 4.24x
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $13.87
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $39.7
Multiplier: 3.86x
User PnL: $13.87

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Buffalo Bills in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $20.7
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $32.87
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $20.7

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $18.94
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $34.63
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: $18.94

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Tennessee Titans in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.44
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Green Bay Packers in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 28.6%
Current value: $15.32
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 3.50x
User PnL: $15.32

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 45.2%
Current value: $24.19
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $29.38
Multiplier: 2.21x
User PnL: $24.19

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Miami Dolphins in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 37.1%
Current value: $19.87
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $33.7
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $19.87

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Minnesota Vikings in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.25
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the New Orleans Saints in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.49
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 38°C or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $53.04
Potential profit: $53.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 45.3%
Current value: $23.69
Potential payout: $52.36
Potential profit: $28.67
Multiplier: 2.21x
User PnL: $23.69

Yes position

Will Dries Mertens be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.38
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Thomas Frank be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.38
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Oliver Glasner be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.38
Potential profit: $50.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Brazil to win the second half?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

No position

Scotland to win the second half?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Scotland to win the second half?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Multiplier: 9.35x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?

No 10.6% 1.5 shares