Polymarket Trader

15rob

0x2afd0dfad042ef302aad5d4480602d1a9250deb4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $65.58
Realized PnL: $1.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.67K
User PnL: -$20.15

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.64K
User PnL: -$14.37

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$5.03

Shanghai Dragons position

KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $867.13
Potential profit: $867.13
User PnL: -$20.15

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs finish with the best record in the NBA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785.32
Potential profit: $785.32
User PnL: -$17.02

Yes position

Will JD Vance visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.18
Potential profit: $525.18
User PnL: -$11.46

Yes position

StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $441.41
Potential profit: $430.82
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $379.94
Potential profit: $374.43
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.1

No position

Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.71
Potential profit: $338.71
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $317.6
Potential profit: $316.49
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will The Bride! get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $304.04
Potential profit: $302.22
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $296.49
Potential profit: $292.63
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $280.75
Potential profit: $275.69
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.46
Potential profit: $272.46
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.63
Potential profit: $268.63
User PnL: -$13.73

No position

Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.93
Potential profit: $259.93
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $258.26
Potential profit: $253.23
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $256.99
Potential profit: $256.09
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.18

No position

Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.67
Potential profit: $242.67
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $219.45
Potential profit: $213.64
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $215.84
Potential profit: $215.09
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.88

Yes position

Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $12.19
Potential payout: $203.12
Potential profit: $190.93
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $12.94
Potential payout: $197.57
Potential profit: $184.63
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will Kevin Cramer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.7
Potential profit: $188.7
User PnL: -$2.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 22.4%
Multiplier: 4.46x
User PnL: $223.59

Yes position

Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $218.69

Yes position

Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $157.06

Yes position

Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $121.06

Yes position

Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90.15

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.92

Yes position

Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.94

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.54

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $73.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.69

Yes position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 0.8%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.73

Fenerbahce position

Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.69

No position

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.78

Saint Marys Gaels position

Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $49.59

Yes position

Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.42

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.41

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 90.6%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $38.16

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.34

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.61

Mid-America Christian Evangels position

Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.34

Yes position

Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.02

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 18% 8.08 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 18% 9 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No 41% 10.3 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 18% 8.08 shares
Ethereum flipped in 2026?

No 53% 0.88 shares
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Yes 59% 8.94 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 19% 26.2 shares
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

No 11% 24.9 shares
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?

No 79% 6.12 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat?

No 76% 8.32 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?

No 63% 7.3 shares
Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?

Yes 6.4% 5 shares