Polymarket Trader

makariso

0x2b18eb0e5cc511a965235880ae37740276b05ac2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.03
Realized PnL: $759.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $50.63
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $174.38
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $47.76
Potential payout: $212.26
Potential profit: $164.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $10.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.03
Potential profit: $148.03
User PnL: -$28.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $18.64
Potential payout: $120.29
Potential profit: $101.65
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.6
Potential profit: $101.6
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$21.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.01
Potential profit: $99.01
User PnL: -$18.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $96
User PnL: -$19.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.9
Potential profit: $95.9
User PnL: -$17.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$10.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.04
Potential profit: $66.04
User PnL: -$20.86

Yes position

Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$7.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.01
Potential profit: $25.01
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.54
Potential profit: $6.54
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 14% 22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 15.3% 75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 14% 98.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 14% 101.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 12% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 11.8% 75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 17% 54 shares