No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $56.86
- Potential payout
- $64.25
- Potential profit
- $7.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $7.8
Polymarket Trader
theedgehunter
0x2b2178dc88e69ba1a5e68cd2289aa5fee7674fa9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.86
- Realized PnL
- -$158.35
- Win rate
- 47.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.68
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.99
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.06
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.11
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 45% 54 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 65% 54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 94% 4.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 66% 15.15 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No 91.9% 10.86 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 3.2% 20.99 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 7% 20.99 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 8% 20.99 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 14% 20.99 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 15% 20.99 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 16% 20.99 shares
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No 13% 11.11 shares