Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $114.4
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $45.6
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $7.2
Polymarket Trader
xiaofeiming
0x2b27e9bbc753583a3a1ddc4b0a36197502144c31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.86
- Realized PnL
- $564.64
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $114.54
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$46.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.7
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.8
No position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $62.9
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.6
No position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,940 on the final trading day of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $88000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No 68% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No 67% 340.02 shares
- Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 43% 120 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 43.1% 22.42 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 43.2% 107.58 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 65.3% 350 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 63.9% 350 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 66% 130 shares
- Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 73% 440 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 75.3% 380 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 82% 400 shares
- Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No 85% 400 shares