Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.8%
- Current value
- $962.9
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 4.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Polymarket Trader
discolado1510
0x2b31b1a407bee322eb85bd41d1f298dbc16e1306
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $992.58
- Realized PnL
- $201.59
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$76
No position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$18.69
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $496.44
- Potential profit
- $496.44
- User PnL
- -$14.85
No position
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $482.11
- Potential profit
- $482.11
- User PnL
- -$43.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354.85
- Potential profit
- $354.85
- User PnL
- -$170.52
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$29.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $199.98
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $29.68
- Potential payout
- $152.23
- Potential profit
- $122.55
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $17.51
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$49.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.98
- Potential profit
- $139.98
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.65
- Potential profit
- $129.65
- User PnL
- -$19.92
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$23.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4.7
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.97
- Potential profit
- $99.97
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.12
- Potential profit
- $45.12
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.76
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
paiN Gaming position
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs OG (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump say "Gold Medal" or "Gold Medallist" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Trump not say any listed term during the 2026 State of the Union Address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.9% 20.9 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.9% 2,986.95 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.4% 399.99 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.3% 17 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.2% 17 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24.1% 227 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 24% 221.65 shares
- Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 8% 59.23 shares
- Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 8% 93 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 32% 9.38 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 38% 39.99 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 21.9% 6.53 shares