Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $918.77
- Potential profit
- $918.77
- User PnL
- -$28.15
Polymarket Trader
0xCFe1b0CbE5F1290a8dF720bdb070B29505808526-1777943398998
0x2b366034b69b64a444406b2db7ec1ff7869c473b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.51
- Realized PnL
- $5.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $611.88
- Potential profit
- $611.88
- User PnL
- -$595.49
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.65
- Potential profit
- $224.65
- User PnL
- -$34.37
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.17
- Potential profit
- $108.17
- User PnL
- -$14.38
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.79
- Potential profit
- $99.79
- User PnL
- -$4.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.03
- Potential profit
- $92.03
- User PnL
- -$90.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.59
- Potential profit
- $71.59
- User PnL
- -$70.16
Yes position
Will the Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the February decision?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.2
- Potential profit
- $41.2
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.4
- Potential profit
- $28.4
- User PnL
- -$6.63
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.61
- Potential profit
- $24.61
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- User PnL
- -$9.84
No position
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $14.44
- Potential profit
- $13.61
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.86
- Potential profit
- $12.86
- User PnL
- -$9.92
Yes position
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.87
- Potential profit
- $11.87
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.68
- Potential payout
- $11.68
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.01
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.47
- Potential profit
- $11.47
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.33
- Potential profit
- $11.33
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.21
- Potential profit
- $11.21
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.21
- Potential profit
- $11.21
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $10.31
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $10.31
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.37
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.73
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.6
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.73
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.11
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.46
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.4
No position
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.58
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.23
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.28
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.29
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $196.2
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.43
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.84
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.63
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.98
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.18
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.09
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.04
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp 99% 101.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown 99% 71.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 98% 102.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown 98% 102.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETUp 99% 101.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp 98% 102.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETDown 98% 102.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp 98% 102.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp 99% 101.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp 99% 102.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp 98% 102.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETDown 98% 102.03 shares