Polymarket Trader

0x2B499d8fEdc6Ead5bFeda0CC6972FceCb17132cD-1764595878577

0x2b499d8fedc6ead5bfeda0cc6972fcecb17132cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.17
Realized PnL: $8.86
Win rate: 7.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Future feature DJ Khaled on "The Real Me"?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $14.17
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $69.17
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $4.17

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.07
Potential profit: $9.07
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Fortaleza EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27
Potential profit: $3.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $2.2
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 106 billion views by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

GPT ads by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

19.9% 9.81 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

18.3% 15.99 shares
Will Future feature DJ Khaled on "The Real Me"?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 7% 8.33 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Down 2% 19.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Down 10% 19.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Down 18% 6.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Down 29% 6.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Up 11% 9.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Down 2% 22.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Down 9% 11.07 shares