Polymarket Trader

Hephaestus00

0x2b49be04caaacb0f474ced07a53a612324212bb9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.97
Realized PnL: $66.93
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.33
Potential profit: $191.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $57.67
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $44.08
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.1
Potential profit: $35.1
User PnL: -$24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 54.05 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 21% 9.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 59% 6.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 53.1% 7.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 77% 5.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 77% 5.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 77% 5.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 77% 5.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 71% 2.56 shares