Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.14K
- Potential profit
- $22.14K
- User PnL
- -$413.97
Polymarket Trader
vaslevs
0x2b5570672f2fba9e49633c082b37c80052cf32c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.41
- Realized PnL
- $5.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- User PnL
- -$869.68
Yes position
Was Kanye hacked?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 365–379 times August 8–August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$149.6
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $917.88
- Potential profit
- $917.88
- User PnL
- -$130.62
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $596.39
- Potential profit
- $596.39
- User PnL
- -$230
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 600 and 629 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $564.58
- Potential profit
- $564.58
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450.4
- Potential profit
- $450.4
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406.84
- Potential profit
- $406.84
- User PnL
- -$100.57
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.38
- Potential profit
- $320.38
- User PnL
- -$100.66
No position
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $162.41
- Potential payout
- $255.77
- Potential profit
- $93.36
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $29.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.78
- Potential profit
- $177.78
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.32
- Potential profit
- $160.32
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $144.93
- User PnL
- -$61.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $115.38
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.06
- Potential profit
- $101.06
- User PnL
- -$39.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.77
- Potential profit
- $88.77
- User PnL
- -$58.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.42
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $812.63
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.43
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.44
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.89
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.26
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.63
No position
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.5
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.93
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.58
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.42
No position
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.9
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.38
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.68
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 255.77 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 221.31 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 61% 221.31 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 31.4% 430.65 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 34.5% 430.66 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 58% 255.93 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 255.93 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 99.3% 152.24 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 89% 152.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 26% 115.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 20% 35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes 18% 38.89 shares