Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xD23F9286332be0182Ea31f4929f161Ac812b328c-1772600222672
0x2b65b3cf11c7aaa422114d24d436cd014ef9a7bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.06
- Realized PnL
- $15.31
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $22.17
- Potential profit
- $14.74
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $18.7
- Potential profit
- $10.75
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $12.9
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $12.7
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Iraq position
Spread: Norway (-2.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Switzerland position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.3%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $6.18
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Switzerland 71% 7.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 10?Yes 31% 12.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 10?Yes 27.1% 22.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 10?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?Yes 26.7% 18.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?Yes 39.4% 12.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 22?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?Yes 54% 0.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?Yes 54.9% 6.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?Yes 50% 5.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?Yes 42% 11.9 shares