No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378
- Potential profit
- $378
- User PnL
- -$177.66
Polymarket Trader
AdrianFuller6610
0x2b71211982ec1a0f51615b7e4a55cbc49c26f1d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $248.88
- Realized PnL
- $970.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $248.88
- Potential payout
- $366
- Potential profit
- $117.12
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$14.64
Yes position
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.99
- Potential profit
- $201.99
- User PnL
- -$44.44
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197
- Potential profit
- $197
- User PnL
- -$51.22
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194
- Potential profit
- $194
- User PnL
- -$3.07
No position
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.63
- Potential profit
- $149.63
- User PnL
- -$104.74
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$51.99
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108
- Potential profit
- $108
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $92
- User PnL
- -$86.48
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $67
- User PnL
- -$1.41
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $61
- User PnL
- -$39.04
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 44% and 46%?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $59
- User PnL
- -$8.85
Yes position
Will Trump say "Women's Sports" or "Transgender" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $58
- User PnL
- -$12.76
Yes position
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $46
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.4
- Potential profit
- $38.4
- User PnL
- -$13.44
Yes position
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $37
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$1.36
No position
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
HCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.84
No position
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.37
No position
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.52
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $72.72
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.99
No position
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.48
Yes position
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.87
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.1
Yes position
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.85
Yes position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $42.61
Y
Yes position
Will "World Cup" be said 60+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.28
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.72
Yes position
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.04
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.81
Yes position
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.43
No position
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.96
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.3
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.84
Yes position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.08
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.9
No position
Will Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.16
Yes position
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.72
No position
Will Cramer say "Fed Chair" during TBPN on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.18
No position
Odds of Newsom Dem Pres Nominee over 40% by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No 27% 6 shares
- Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?No 39% 8 shares
- Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?No 70% 91.17 shares
- Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?No 70% 157 shares
- Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?No 70% 193.83 shares
- Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?No 68% 442 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 73% 488 shares
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?No 48% 12 shares
- Cerebras IPO before 2027?No 27% 142 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 66% 5 shares
- Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 69% 252 shares
- Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 69% 252 shares