Polymarket Trader

0x2B733d127F58809eCF9917100A7F7A946F6F174E-1774267513940

0x2b733d127f58809ecf9917100a7f7a946f6f174e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $347.09
Realized PnL: $2.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $470.4
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $448.98
Potential profit: $447.86
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$16.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.25
Potential profit: $409.25
User PnL: -$12.28

No position

Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?

Ends Jul 25, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $19.96
Potential payout: $332.64
Potential profit: $312.68
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$19.96

⁠Movistar KOI Fénix position

LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.54
Potential profit: $300.54
User PnL: -$201.29

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $32.56
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $143.44
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$6.16

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.7
Potential profit: $172.7
User PnL: -$34.54

No position

Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.93
Potential profit: $147.93
User PnL: -$99.89

Yes position

Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $28
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $89.38
Potential profit: $88.08
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $39.13
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $46.87
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $35.69
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $50.31
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $58.03
Potential payout: $84.72
Potential profit: $26.69
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.45
Potential profit: $76.45
User PnL: -$24.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.36
Potential profit: $76.36
User PnL: -$34.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $73
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $39.96
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $32.04
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.36

Under position

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.98
Potential profit: $71.98
User PnL: -$30.76

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.82
Potential profit: $70.82
User PnL: -$26.91

Yes position

Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $37.8
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $32.2
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$2.1

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.2
Potential profit: $69.2
User PnL: -$38.11

No position

Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $31.34
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $23.66
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $29.4
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Norway leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.59
Potential profit: $40.59
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.92

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $236.13

No position

Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.4

Eva Lys position

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.72

PlayTime position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.36

Celtics position

Magic vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.86

Zero Tenacity position

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.09

Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position

LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.37

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.92

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.29

Solary position

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.23

B8 position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.95

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.99

Rafa Garcia position

UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.52

UCAM Esports Club position

LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.46

Yes position

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.07

Caty McNally position

Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNally

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.1

Team Heretics Academy position

LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.04

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.47

GAM Esports position

LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.64

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.56

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.22

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.58

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 4.4% 95 shares
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 9.1% 5 shares
Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?

Yes 4% 199.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 16?

Yes 28% 0.23 shares
ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31?

Yes 12% 0.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 16?

No 17% 0.28 shares
Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Yes 6% 0.82 shares
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?

Yes 4% 1.03 shares
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 6.3% 0.97 shares
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

No 39.6% 0.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 16?

Yes 16% 0.46 shares
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Yes 13% 0.99 shares