No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.83K
- Potential profit
- $5.83K
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Polymarket Trader
0x2B91cA6cfbcC867b74962518aB02c1d3C03A5acB-1776432233314
0x2b91ca6cfbcc867b74962518ab02c1d3c03a5acb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.83
- Realized PnL
- $80.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.51
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.39
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$16.98
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $662.67
- Potential profit
- $653.73
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $490.77
- Potential profit
- $487.09
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.27
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $234.88
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $221.44
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $144.93
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.17
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $49.82
- Multiplier
- 6.54x
- User PnL
- $8
Y
Yes position
Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $53.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.98
- Potential profit
- $40.98
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Francis Mauigoa be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.59
- Potential profit
- $35.59
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $34.97
- Potential profit
- $29.76
- Multiplier
- 6.71x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $19.12
- Potential profit
- $15.45
- Multiplier
- 5.21x
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Y
Yes position
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.8%
- Current value
- $6.81
- Potential payout
- $17.13
- Potential profit
- $10.32
- Multiplier
- 2.52x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $12.83
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- $6.02
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-30?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.5% 662.67 shares
- Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 24% 8.33 shares
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.3% 34.97 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes 32.1% 17.13 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes 46% 6.52 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.9% 144.93 shares
- Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes 60% 3.33 shares
- Will Vinicius Jr. score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39% 7.69 shares
- Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 30% 6.67 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 41.3% 7.26 shares
- Will Gabriel Magalhães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15% 13.33 shares