Polymarket Trader

answerball

0x2b91fb1b7315d8f735c91f42e684dba2292ba535

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.56K
Realized PnL: $121.57
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.3%
Current value: $838.5
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 3.10x
User PnL: -$22.1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $286.89
Potential payout: $317
Potential profit: $30.12
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $14.26

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $248.6
Potential payout: $312.9
Potential profit: $64.3
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$19.84

Yes position

Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $98.98
Potential payout: $107
Potential profit: $8.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $85.93
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.63

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

No position

Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.24

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

No position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.27

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Dec 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.1% 2,600 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 85.8% 312.9 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 8% 381.32 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 57% 399.98 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

No 56% 350 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 9% 418.68 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

No 57% 50 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 42% 18.97 shares
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 43% 22 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 39% 7.5 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 10% 500 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 91% 107 shares