Polymarket Trader

simmmy

0x2b9a504b7dc2715e734038bf0c4a434417dcf6e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $181.67
Realized PnL: $1.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$94.25

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$105

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $110.7
Potential payout: $246
Potential profit: $135.3
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$88.56

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $155
User PnL: -$60.38

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.5
Potential profit: $100.5
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $24.27
Potential payout: $72.45
Potential profit: $48.18
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $72.45
Potential profit: $68.5
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $72.45
Potential profit: $57.6
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $72.45
Potential profit: $66.55
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $22.4
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.72

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $14.83
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.4
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $7.29
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.73

Yes position

Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.98

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.16

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.75

No position

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.67

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.09

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.92

No position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.23

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.79

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.56

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.08

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

Yes position

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.58

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

No position

Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.67

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 81% 246 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 95% 85 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 45.1% 99.99 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 63% 28.74 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 60% 200 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 33% 193 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 44% 113.64 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 63% 79.37 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 31.5% 100 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Yes 39% 43.47 shares
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 39% 5 shares
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 38.9% 115.42 shares