Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $17.36
- Potential payout
- $150.95
- Potential profit
- $133.59
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.64
Polymarket Trader
ettowers
0x2b9b0cda300ee93ba73bb58bbda14fdb19397feb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.84
- Realized PnL
- $1.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.63
- Potential profit
- $132.63
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.9
- Potential profit
- $129.9
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.67
- Potential profit
- $122.67
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.56
- Potential profit
- $105.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.02
- Potential profit
- $93.02
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $85.71
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Trump Family buys stake in Binance before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.43
- Potential profit
- $78.43
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.63
- Potential profit
- $73.63
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.58
- Potential profit
- $64.58
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 3 ET?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.35
- Potential profit
- $46.35
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will any AI score ≥20% on ARC-AGI-2 by June 30?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $42.86
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10 ET?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $10.63
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.16
Yes position
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.07
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.8
Yes position
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.26
Yes position
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Trump wins every state in Rep. Nomination?
Ends Jun 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.33
Yes position
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round?
Ends May 14, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.08
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.75
Democrat position
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada?
Ends Nov 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.05
No position
World Cup: Thursday - Will Spain beat Japan?
Ends Dec 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.46
Yes position
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.9
No position
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021?
Ends Feb 24, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.84
Yes position
Will Switzerland qualify from Group G?
Ends Dec 6, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.08
Chiefs position
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Chiefs
Ends Jan 29, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.84
Yes position
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.03
No position
Golden Globes: Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win Best Picture - Musical or Comedy?
Ends Jan 11, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.2
No position
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.99
No position
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?
Ends Jun 22, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.35
No position
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.08
Dems/Ossoff position
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.67
Yes position
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
Ends Oct 21, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
Perez position
WA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.72
Democrat position
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona?
Ends Nov 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
Yes position
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes 55.3% 18.07 shares
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes 54% 18.52 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No 94.1% 10.63 shares
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes 54% 37.04 shares
- Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 53.6% 18.66 shares
- Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 79% 12.66 shares
- Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 81% 12.35 shares
- Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 69% 14.49 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 52.5% 19.05 shares