Polymarket Trader

0x2bAa8F678812DE02aad60CcfAaf61F24442E647a-1773199483357

0x2baa8f678812de02aad60ccfaaf61f24442e647a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $420.12
Realized PnL: $21.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.7K
Potential profit: $68.7K
User PnL: -$470.79

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.49K
Potential profit: $35.49K
User PnL: -$480.46

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7.1K
User PnL: -$590.99

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$546

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $4.1K
User PnL: -$338

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$564

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$17.17

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$511.99

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $110.67
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $9.92

Yes position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $200.6
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $979.4
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $108.85
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $591.15
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $10.85

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $661.1
Potential profit: $661.1
User PnL: -$425

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$216

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$94

Yes position

Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.62
Potential profit: $109.62
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$8.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.07K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $902

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $889

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $696.9

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $649.22

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $577.8

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.46

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.69

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.84

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.89

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Yes 17% 1,180 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 700 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.5% 191.99 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Yes 10.1% 80 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Yes 27% 50 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 1.3% 30.52 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 46% 20 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 46% 108.7 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 46.9% 213.3 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 18.5% 23.69 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Yes 99.9% 154.63 shares