Polymarket Trader

dominique-crispin

0x2bafa51c39aab13aa69325cb78d8c3fe02a98784

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $698.08
Realized PnL: $2.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $184.27
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.33K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$12.29

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $840
Potential profit: $832.86
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794.12
Potential profit: $794.12
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Celonis IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $101
Potential payout: $776.92
Potential profit: $675.92
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $493.85
Potential profit: $493.85
User PnL: -$291.37

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.6%
Current value: $178.68
Potential payout: $305.17
Potential profit: $126.49
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $81.53

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.24
Potential profit: $254.24
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.93
Potential profit: $252.93
User PnL: -$123

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $145.7
Potential payout: $237.11
Potential profit: $91.41
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $17.66

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.19
Potential profit: $235.19
User PnL: -$127

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.6
Potential profit: $202.6
User PnL: -$97.25

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.23
Potential profit: $169.23
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.46
Potential profit: $166.46
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Toulon win?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$38.6

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $81.29
Potential payout: $108.38
Potential profit: $27.1
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $19.51

Yes position

Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $864.38

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.61

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.33

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.25

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $101.85

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.31

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.22

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.19

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.4

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.91

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.08

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.86

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $48.1

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

No position

Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.99

Yes position

Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 52% 192.31 shares
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 54% 237.11 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 62% 80.65 shares
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 38% 263.16 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 98.1% 307.69 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 65% 169.23 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 99.8% 100 shares
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 99.7% 12.33 shares