Yes position
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$17
Polymarket Trader
Fatwai
0x2bb0b2d1f4824e17038327c5328d9a7c04c01712
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.29
- Realized PnL
- $86.55
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $969.15
- Potential profit
- $969.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560.41
- Potential profit
- $560.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $36.29
- Potential payout
- $558.25
- Potential profit
- $521.97
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$58.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $256.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.83
- Potential profit
- $34.83
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.32
- Potential profit
- $18.32
- User PnL
- -$13.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.54
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.82
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.45
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.26
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 65% 10.32 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 89% 18.77 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 78.9% 18.77 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 80% 18.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 21% 187.9 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94.2% 73.74 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 54.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp 28% 3.5 shares