Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$14.3
Polymarket Trader
CenturyFox
0x2bb85d647c02156aec20ab924395d4ecf543b136
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.43
- Realized PnL
- $1.43
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$31.02
No position
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $244.13
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
1win position
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.5
- Potential profit
- $242.5
- User PnL
- -$10.22
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $144.45
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- $0.25
1win position
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $129.99
- User PnL
- -$11.6
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Pavel Durov released in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.21
Keymer position
Nepomniachtchi vs. Keymer
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Netanyahu position
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
September temperature increase by less than 1.17°C?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Girl position
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during North Carolina rally October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during North Carolina rally October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump say "Tax" 15 or more times during North Carolina rally October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will 'Smile 2' gross more than $27m opening weekend?
Ends Oct 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump say "Helene" during North Carolina rally October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
2025 March hottest on record?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40–49?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will Sinwar leave Gaza by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
September temperature increase by between 1.35-1.40°C?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
August temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETUp 1% 500 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.1% 500 shares
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner1win 2% 127.49 shares
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner1win 12% 10 shares
- Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?Yes 2.2% 76.06 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes 1.9% 486.64 shares
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?Yes 12% 75.3 shares
- Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40–49?Yes 8% 20 shares
- Nepomniachtchi vs. KeymerKeymer 80% 11.7 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025?Yes 0.7% 300 shares