No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $35.49
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $13.88
Polymarket Trader
0x2bba...793a
0x2bba44edd2acdbbf3ef6c5f24b4ca2a7fe7b793a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $70.43
- Realized PnL
- $2.42
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $31.76
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $20.15
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $8.78
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $6.98
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.3%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.59
- Multiplier
- 3.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 93.6% 6 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.6% 23 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 89% 7 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 34.8% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 13% 10 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 12% 9 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 26% 16 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 78% 9 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 10 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 88% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 12% 9 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 96% 8 shares