Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$300
Polymarket Trader
whatstheword
0x2bbc05ff7b13c243262535a4c9ecc0d1b066799f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.5
- Realized PnL
- $135.61
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $977.49
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.68
Yes position
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $543.08
- Potential profit
- $543.08
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.06
- Potential profit
- $200.06
- User PnL
- -$55.3
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16.57
Yes position
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.49
- Potential profit
- $93.49
- User PnL
- -$31.85
Yes position
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Surplus" during Philippines President events on July 22?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Beautiful clean coal" this week?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$1.28
McVey position
UFC 318: Ferreira vs. McVey
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Fugitt position
UFC 318: Fugitt vs. Dulatov
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Valentin position
UFC 318: Gautier vs. Valentin
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Johnson position
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Rodriguez position
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "Chokepoint" or "Choke Point" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fed" or "Powell" during the crypto bill signing ceremony on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will Trump say “Nuclear weapon” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "BRICS" this week?
Ends Jul 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Trump say “God / Hell” 10+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Stars
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
2025 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will anyone say "Downgrade" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?
Ends Jul 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?Yes 1.2% 100 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes 3.9% 155.98 shares
- Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Yes 35% 50 shares
- Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes 14% 50 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?Yes 0.3% 50 shares
- Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?No 0.2% 9.99 shares
- Will Trump say "Surplus" during Philippines President events on July 22?Yes 30% 50 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?No 15% 20 shares
- Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes 9% 150 shares
- Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?Yes 34% 50 shares