No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- User PnL
- -$109.07
Polymarket Trader
helvetic-samba
0x2bc8ba8fe0b8b8913ea4f6b53eb5369c8cbab4da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $658.56
- Realized PnL
- $26.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$53.49
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $236.31
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$156.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$267.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$101.3
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$41.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$615.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$335.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$5.69
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$23.3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$59.99
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.6%
- Current value
- $347.25
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $958.2
- Multiplier
- 3.76x
- User PnL
- $57.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$13.45
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$35.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$63.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$18.3
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $924.98
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$104.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.95
- Potential profit
- $999.95
- User PnL
- -$34.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.95
- Potential profit
- $999.95
- User PnL
- -$34.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.95
- Potential profit
- $999.95
- User PnL
- -$34.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Knicks
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Squire position
Pau: Henri Squire vs Alexander Shevchenko
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Maryland Terrapins position
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $979.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $926.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.51
New Mexico Lobos position
New Mexico Lobos vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $845.85
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $777
Yes position
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $753.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.48
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.6
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 30% 200 shares
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreNo 35% 100 shares
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreNo 29% 120 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 39% 200 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 8.3% 200 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 66.5% 399.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5.2% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 15% 700 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 74.5% 1,199.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No 55% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 28.3% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 26.5% 93.07 shares