Polymarket Trader

0x2bcb...9014

0x2bcb4fde21d9878cec5257675fca8e3132fb9014

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $15.1
Realized PnL: $52.12
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.91
Potential profit: $27.91
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $15.1
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $5.31
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $5.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Lululemon Athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Yes 49% 20.41 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 90.3% 16.32 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 10.7% 27.91 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 61.2% 16.33 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 98.8% 16.32 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 61.2% 16.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 57% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 45% 4.44 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Yes 24% 12.5 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 38.3% 3.49 shares