Polymarket Trader

zwlzxy

0x2bd208d1f7c22e3755ef5c09f76aa4d0e05b85ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $439.46
Realized PnL: $17.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $367.13
Potential payout: $379.86
Potential profit: $12.73
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $24.05

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $25.49
Potential payout: $27.26
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.23
Potential profit: $8.23
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $6.98
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $5.18
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Bitcoin above 73,800 on May 30, 12PM ET?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Japan 33% 3.44 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Japan 29% 3.45 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 96.2% 1 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 95.8% 130 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 98.6% 10 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 29% 2.59 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 28% 2.27 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 87.3% 1.15 shares
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 57.9% 1.73 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 43% 6.98 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 77% 2.6 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 93% 5.38 shares