Yes position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $187.75
- Potential payout
- $31.29K
- Potential profit
- $31.1K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.9K
Polymarket Trader
Chia
0x2bd2574062fb6d8556ddb1050955f43dd9d4c21b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.94K
- Realized PnL
- $603.27K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $95.87
- Potential payout
- $10.65K
- Potential profit
- $10.56K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.78K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $114.73
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $237.64
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $254.68
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $929.88
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $17.77
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $78.86
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $162.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.43K
Yes position
Will Trump win 7 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.92K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630
Yes position
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.96
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.27
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.2
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$16.43
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$71.2
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$92.42
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$114.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 1,639.02 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes 16.8% 1,440.26 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 2.7% 553.48 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 46.7% 90 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 19.1% 360 shares
- Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.9% 752.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 28% 999.99 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 25.1% 5,868.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75% 5,009.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 28% 999.99 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 34.7% 578.55 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 78% 775.97 shares