Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $690.68
- Potential profit
- $690.68
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
0x2bdCB235285E10C6C8F105aB1A72781daAB3e1DC-1772450172169
0x2bdcb235285e10c6c8f105ab1a72781daab3e1dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.24K
- Realized PnL
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.37
- Potential profit
- $589.37
- User PnL
- -$300
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321.63
- Potential profit
- $321.63
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $186.36
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $116.67
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$13.64
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.1%
- Current value
- $148.21
- Potential payout
- $279.37
- Potential profit
- $131.16
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $48.21
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $95.81
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $181.97
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.19
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $201.32
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $61.84
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $203.41
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $23.86
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $210.32
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $97.4
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $75.02
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $151.52
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $119.05
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $99.43
- Potential payout
- $103.41
- Potential profit
- $3.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.42
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.29
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.56
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.16
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.52
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.82
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $63.49
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.73
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.5
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.75
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.74
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $32.79
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $29.42
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $26.67
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $22.91
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $21.7
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.37
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $18.18
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.74
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 13% 555.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 66% 303.03 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 76% 263.16 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 96.7% 103.41 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 36% 277.78 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 88% 227.27 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 58% 172.41 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 9% 1,415.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 212.77 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 60% 277.91 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 72% 277.92 shares