sagarana

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.88
Potential profit: $294.88
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.4
Potential profit: $230.4
User PnL: -$54.03

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $197.8
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $186
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $195.59
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $134.8
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$34.51

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $22.68
Potential payout: $100.12
Potential profit: $77.44
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$6.76

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $21.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $78.45
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $5.45

Yes position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.75
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $13.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.85
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$35.75

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.28
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$13.04

Felix Gill position

Birmingham: Felix Gill vs Kamil Majchrzak

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

OKX IPO in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $63.07
Potential profit: $57.08
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in December?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.76
Potential profit: $62.76
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $558.11

No position

Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.81

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 38.2%
Multiplier: 2.62x
User PnL: $37.4

No position

Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.32

No position

Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $11.26

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $8

Rafael Jodar position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Joao Lucas Da Silva position

Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Joao Lucas Da Silva

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?