Yes position
Will José Williams finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Polymarket Trader
OneChina
0x2beff56f7ebd95441b1aff89d1eb8832c5d39080
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.05
- Realized PnL
- $722.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $193.36
- Potential profit
- $192.88
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $136.26
- Potential profit
- $135.91
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will glm-5.1 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Kurt win the Legend Trade Series?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.22
- Potential profit
- $61.22
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.51
- Potential profit
- $59.51
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $57.54
- Potential profit
- $57.39
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.03
- Potential profit
- $57.03
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$52.12
Yes position
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $54.92
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.55
- Potential profit
- $53.55
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.01
- Potential profit
- $53.01
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.08
- Potential profit
- $50.08
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.07
- Potential profit
- $50.07
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$43
No position
Will Arxis’s market cap be greater than $13B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.86
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.42
No position
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Israel" during press conference?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.92
Yes position
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.91
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $24.41
No position
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.97
No position
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.9
Yes position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $136 Week of April 13 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.23
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.38
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.04
No position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.74
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.16
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 17?Yes 2% 47.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 17?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 17?Yes 2% 47.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 17?Yes 1.9% 47.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 17?Yes 1.6% 47.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17?No 2% 10.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17?Yes 7% 41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 17?No 3% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17?No 6% 33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17?Yes 2% 47.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 17?Yes 2% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?No 3% 8 shares