Polymarket Trader

kakarik

0x2bf042ce4e67418b2e75d72177a889286531727b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.77
Realized PnL: $36.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-05-29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.96
Potential payout: $10.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $10.34
User PnL: -$9

Canelo position

Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $9.68
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $8.86
User PnL: -$7

Cong position

Cong vs. Fernandes

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.63
Potential profit: $8.63
User PnL: -$7.51

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$3

Landwehr position

Landwehr vs. Choi

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$4

Medic position

Soriano vs. Medic

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: -$2.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Malott position

Malott vs. Giles

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Rakhmonov position

Rakhmonov vs. Garry

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Mitchell position

Mitchell vs. Gracie

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Moreno position

Moreno vs. Albazi

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 8-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Kopylov position

Curtis vs. Kopylov

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Elon tweet 275-299 times November 8-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Israel strikes Iran by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Trump tweet 20-24 times Nov 15-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 42% 7.14 shares
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

No 47% 10.64 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29?

Yes 84% 8.33 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-05-29?

Yes 73% 10.96 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
GTA VI released before June 2026?

No 99.8% 5.15 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

No 99.7% 5.48 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 85% 6.34 shares
GTA VI released before June 2026?

No 96.9% 5.16 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 63% 6.35 shares
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?

Yes 79% 8.86 shares