Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $831.91
- Potential profit
- $828.58
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Polymarket Trader
xlag7pf8tsmz
0x2bf21427f5034351692b7b83640f923d8323bace
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.37
- Realized PnL
- $173.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $507.15
- Potential profit
- $504.11
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $107.97
- Potential profit
- $106.72
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
N
No position
Will the announcers say "History" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $26.19
- Potential profit
- $24.89
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $10.08
- Potential payout
- $10.24
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.11
- Potential payout
- $10.17
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $10.16
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $6.39
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.03
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $3.55
- Potential profit
- $2.54
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $1.38
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $1.36
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kushner" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No 99.9% 1.1 shares
- Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No 96% 1.15 shares
- Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 92% 0.04 shares
- Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 92% 0.02 shares
- Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 92% 0.08 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No 91% 0.25 shares
- Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No 31% 3.55 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No 89% 0.24 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No 86% 0.75 shares
- Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 92% 1.2 shares
- Will the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 21% 5.24 shares
- Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No 79% 1.39 shares